Lisa Mailhot | November 10, 2026
Buyers
If you have been watching the housing market this year, you already know it has been anything but predictable. A new trend deserves the attention of every buyer and seller in Orange County. According to Redfin data, 14.5% of home purchase agreements across the country fell apart in September. That is the highest cancellation rate since the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Deals collapse for many reasons, including inspection surprises, trouble securing a loan, and appraisals that come in low. Cancellations also rise when buyers feel they have options. Today’s shoppers can choose from more listings in many markets, so they feel less pressure to stick with a deal that stops making sense. Higher borrowing costs add to the strain, since they make monthly payments harder to manage.
The national number hides big differences between markets. Tampa and Las Vegas saw cancellation rates close to 20%. San Francisco, a much stronger seller’s market, recorded just 2.8%. The takeaway is that the more choices buyers have, the more power they hold. That power can mean negotiating for repairs, asking for help with closing costs, or walking away when an inspection reveals expensive problems.
For sellers, an accepted offer is no longer a guarantee of a closing. Buyers with other homes to consider can push for a lower price or ask the seller to cover part of their costs. The best defense is preparation. Price your home realistically from day one, handle repairs and pre-listing inspections early, and work with an agent who screens buyers carefully for financing strength.
The market was already sluggish before rates climbed. Based on National Association of Realtors data reported by Yahoo Finance, existing home sales rose 1.5% in September to an annual pace of 3.99 million. That was still 2.2% lower than a year earlier. The small gain was misleading, because many of those sales came from contracts signed in August, when average mortgage rates were closer to 6.7%. By late September, the average 30-year fixed rate had jumped to 7.58%, making the same homes more expensive to finance.
Realtor.com chief economist Danielle Hale cautioned that rising costs could add pressure to an already weakening market. If buyers pull back, sellers may need to cut prices or offer concessions, which could favor well-prepared buyers even more.
More leverage does not mean you should be careless. The reference article offers this advice: “don’t rush into a deal you’re not crazy about.” Take a methodical approach to negotiating power, and remember that your monthly mortgage payment is what truly counts once taxes and insurance are added. Buyers who can comfortably handle today’s payments can afford to be selective. Others may want to strengthen their finances first, so they can negotiate from a position of strength.
Whether you are buying your first home, upgrading, or preparing to sell, this shifting market rewards people who have a plan and a trusted guide. If you are thinking about a move to Orange County, I would love to help you negotiate with confidence, protect your deal, and find a home that fits your life and your budget. Reach out to me at Whitestone Real Estate, and let’s turn today’s market uncertainty into your next great opportunity.
Reference: Woods, T. (2026, November 9). Homebuyers are canceling sales at record levels: What this means for your purchase. MoneyLion via AOL.
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